| Africa
needs investment, not charity
Make 'Making
poverty history' a business issue
"African
countries have talent and natural resources. Put them together and the
opportunity for growth and prospertiy is enormous" says John Varley
Africa
is the world's fastest-growing market for mobile phones, up by 65 per
cent in five years
The G8 summit
and Live8 concerts have generated I much discussion about the impact foreign
aid has had on alleviating poverty in Africa. Yet, despite the many billions
of dollars spent on aid, the inhabitants of Africa are on the whole poorer
today than they were 30 years ago.
While aid certainly has a role to play in Africa, it is only by creating
a vibrant private sector that the continent will make real economic progress.
This belief has brought about a change of attitude by the finance institutions
engaged in the developing world (notably the World Bank). They have all
embraced the concept of private-sector-led development to deliver sustainable
growth.
So, are the conditions in place for the creation of a successful private
sector in sub-Saharan Africa?
Our experience at Actis has shown that it is possible to make successful
investments in Africa - increasingly so, as the macro-economic picture
improves. African governments are moving away from socialist policies
and embracing market-led economics, including privatisation and deregulation.
A classic example is Tanzania, which has abandoned its left-wing agenda
of the mid-1980s.
Historic resistance to foreign investment is also being broken down. According
to the UN Conference on Trade and Development, Africa's share of foreign
direct investment in emerging markets rose from 2 per cent in 2000 to
22 per cent in 2003.
Even the thorny issue of corruption is being tackled. Participants in
the 37th summit of the Organisation of African Unity in July 2001 signed
an agreement to address issues of ethics in commerce. No rational person
would deny that the problem exists, but at last moves are being made to
deal with it.
The pace of reform will accelerate as the leadership of African countries
is taken over by people whose perspectives are shaped by factors very
different from th6se that influence the current leaders. They grew up
in a world characterised by parochialism, exchange controls, state ownership
and trade tariff barriers, including widespread financial inducements
for decision makers.
The new generation of African leaders come from a world with a global
perspective, one that is inclusive and guided by principles in matters
of business. Emerging markets are, in the words of a recent report from
F&C Fund Management, "the growth opportunities of the future".
The push towards privatisation that is gaining momentum across Africa
also creates opportunities for strategic investors. Sectors such as mobile
communications are particularly attractive.
Africa now
has more mobile than fixed-line subscribers and is also the world's fastest-growing
market, with annualised increases of 65 per cent over the past five years.
Financial services is another sector that provides opportunities as, even
where a country is politically unstable, people will always need banking
services. A modular approach can be taken, and an efficiently run bank
will make profits even if it operates in a small country.
From an investment perspective, markets in Africa fall into two categories:
national and global. For example, some African economies are built on
the mining and oil industries, and while investors might be putting their
money in the country itself, the dynamics of market size, demand and pricing
are set globally. Provided there is adequate infrastructure and security,
investments in this category are relatively easy for international investors
to get to grips with. Recently, Actis successfully sold its stake in East
African Goldmines, a Tanzania-based company, to the Canadian mining group
Placer Dome.
National markets are defined by their boundaries, and market size is critical
in determining the investment opportunity. Most African countries are
small and, from the perspective of an international investor, uneconomic.
But some - including South Africa, Nigeria, Kenya, Egypt and Morocco -
are large enough and developed enough to provide economies of scale. And
in smaller countries, advances in technology offer a solution to market-size
challenges. For example, Geltel International, which operates cellular
networks in 13 African nations, is taking advantage of technological improvements
to operate successfully in smaller markets such as Sierra Leone, Gabon
and Niger.
If foreign governments genuinely want to help Africa, there are some really
effective steps they could take.
One is to work in partnership with African governments and the private
sector to invest heavily in infrastructure. Lack of investment here results
in large external costs for businesses, which have to provide basics such
as a power supply and access roads accepted as the norm in the Western
world. In this context, the role of NGOs needs some thought. These organisations
can sometimes take a negative attitude to development projects, especially
when it comes to infrastructure, that is less than helpful to the country's
long-term growth. Hydro-power projects, for example, can sometimes be
blocked after opposition by foreign NGOs.
As the debate on the building of the kind of infrastructure that would
support private-sector-led development rages on, I would, on behalf of
developing countries, urge our friends in the NGO community not to inadvertently
undermine these foundations.
Crucially, the West should open its markets to African products by reducing
trade barriers and subsidies that distort competition and can cripple
Africa's fledgling private sector - which has such an important role to
play in improving the life of the average African.
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